"Muchikamu chekutanga, pamberi pemamiriro ekunze akaoma uye akaomarara uye akaomesesa shanduko yemumba, kusimudzira uye kudzikamisa mabasa, matunhu ese nemadhipatimendi vakanyatsoita sarudzo nezvirongwa zvakaitwa neCPC Central Committee neState Council, zvakatevedzwa. musimboti we "kudzikama sedanho rekutanga" uye "kutsvaga kufambira mberi pakati pekugadzikana", yakashandisa pfungwa itsva yebudiriro nenzira yakakwana, yakarurama uye yakazara, yakamhanyisa kuvakwa kwemaitiro matsva ebudiriro, yakaedza kusimudzira budiriro yemhando yepamusoro. , yakarongedza zviri nani mamiriro maviri epamba uye epasi rose, zviri nani kubatanidza kudzivirira uye kutonga kwedenda uye budiriro yehupfumi nemagariro, budiriro yakabatana iri nani uye chengetedzo, uye yakaratidza kukosha kwekudzikamisa uye kudzikamisa hupfumi uye kubudirira kwevanhu, kubatanidza zviri nani kubudirira nekuchengeteka, uye kuratidza basa rekudzikamisa kukura, basa uye mitengo; kudzivirira uye kudzora denda kwaita shanduko inokurumidza uye yakapfava, kugadzira uye kudiwa kwadzikama uye kwawedzera, mabasa nemitengo zvagara zvakagadzikana, mihoro yevanhu iri kuramba ichikwira, tarisiro yemusika yavandudzika zvakanyanya, uye hupfumi hwatanga zvakanaka mashandiro ayo." Fu Linghui, mutauriri weNational Bureau of Statistics (NBS) uye director weDhipatimendi reComprehensive Statistics on National Economy, akadaro pamusangano wevatori venhau pamusoro pekushanda kwehupfumi hwenyika muchikamu chekutanga chakaitwa neState Council. Information Office musi waApril 18.
Musi waKubvumbi 18, State Council Information Office yakaita musangano nevatori venhau muBeijing, umo Fu Linghui, mutauriri weNational Bureau of Statistics uye director weDhipatimendi reComprehensive National Economy Statistics, akaunza kushanda kwehupfumi hwenyika muchikamu chekutanga. ya2023 ndokupindura mibvunzo kubva kuvatori venhau.
Kufungidzira kwekutanga kunoratidza kuti GDP yekota yekutanga yaive 284,997,000,000 yuan, gore-pa-gore kuwedzera kwe4.5% pamitengo inogara iripo, uye 2.2% ringgit kuwedzera pamusoro pekota yechina yegore rapfuura. Nezve maindasitiri, kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekutanga yaive RMB 11575 bhiriyoni, kusvika 3.7% gore negore; kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yechipiri yaive RMB 10794.7 bhiriyoni, kusvika 3.3%; uye kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yepamusoro yaive RMB 165475 bhiriyoni, yakakwira 5.4%.
Chikamu chekutanga cheindasitiri vanoona kukura kwakadzikama
"Chikamu chekutanga cheindasitiri chakaona kukura kwakadzikama. Kubva pakutanga kwegore rino, nekudzivirira kwedenda nekudzora nekukurumidza uye kwakagadzikana shanduko, yakatsiga yekukura mitemo inoramba ichiratidza mhedzisiro, kudiwa kwemusika kuri kudziya, iyo maindasitiri cheni yekugovera cheni kukurumidza. kudzoreredzwa kwekugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kwakaona shanduko dzakanaka dzakati wandei." Fu Linghui akataura kuti mukota yekutanga, kukosha kwenyika kwemaindasitiri kwakawedzera pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa kwakawedzera ne3.0% gore-pa-gore, yakakwidziridzwa ne0.3 muzana mapoinzi zvichienzaniswa nekota yechina yegore rapfuura. Muzvikamu zvitatu zvakakura, kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yezvicherwa yakakura ne3.2%, indasitiri yekugadzira yakakura ne2.9%, uye magetsi, kupisa, gasi nemvura yekugadzira uye indasitiri yekugovera yakakura ne3.3%. Iko kukosha-kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina yakakura ne4.3%, ichiwedzera ne2,5 muzana kubva muna Ndira kusvika Kukadzi. Pane kunyanya zvinotevera maitiro:
Kutanga, maindasitiri mazhinji akaramba achikura. Muchikamu chekutanga, pazvikamu makumi mana neshanu zvemaindasitiri makuru, zvikamu makumi maviri nenhatu zvakachengeta kukura kwegore negore, nekukura kuri kuita 50%. Kuenzaniswa nekota yechina yegore rapfuura, 20 maindasitiri ukoshi-akawedzera kukura mwero wakawedzera.
Chechipiri, indasitiri yekugadzira michina inoita basa riri pachena rinotsigira. Sezvo maitiro ekusimudzira maindasitiri eChina achisimba, kugona uye nhanho yekugadzira michina inokwidziridzwa, uye kugadzira kunochengetedza kukurumidza kukura. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha-kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina yakakura ne4,3% gore negore, 1.3 muzana inokwirisa kupfuura iyo yeindasitiri yakarongwa, uye mupiro wayo mukukura kwemaindasitiri pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa wakasvika 42,5%. Pakati pavo, michina yemagetsi, njanji uye ngarava uye mamwe maindasitiri akawedzera kukosha kwakawedzera ne15,1%, 9,3%.
Chechitatu, chikamu chekugadzira zvigadzirwa chakakura nekukurumidza. Nekudzoreredza kwakasimba kwehupfumi, kukura kwakasimba kwekudyara kwakasimbisa kukurudzira kweindasitiri yezvigadzirwa, uye kugadzirwa kwakabatana kwakaramba kuchikura nekukurumidza. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha-kwakawedzerwa kwekugadzira zvigadzirwa kwakawedzera ne4.7% gore-pagore, 1.7 muzana inokwirisa kupfuura iyo yeindasitiri yepamutemo. Pakati pavo, ferrous simbi yekunyungudutsa uye rolling indasitiri uye nonferrous simbi kunyungudutsa uye rolling indasitiri yakakura ne5.9% uye 6.9% zvakateerana. Kubva pakuona kwechigadzirwa, muchikamu chekutanga, simbi, gumi isina-ferrous simbi yakagadzirwa yakawedzera ne5.8%, 9%.
Chechina, kugadzirwa kwemadiki uye madiki mabhizinesi akavandudzwa. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha-kwakawedzerwa kwemabhizinesi madiki uye madiki pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa hwakakura ne3.1% gore-pa-gore, nekukurumidza kupfuura mwero wekukura kwemabhizinesi ese emaindasitiri pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa. Ongororo yemibvunzo inoratidza kuti makambani madiki uye madiki-industrial ari pasi pemutemo weProsperity Index pane chikamu chechina chegore rapfuura, kuwedzera kwe1.7 muzana, kugadzirwa uye mamiriro ebhizinesi emabhizinesi akanaka akaverengera 1.2 muzana.
"Uyezve, tarisiro yebhizinesi kazhinji yakanaka, iyo PMI yeindasitiri yekugadzira yave mukutarisa kwemwedzi mitatu yakateedzana, zvigadzirwa zvakasvibirira senge mota nyowani dzemagetsi uye masero ezuva zvakachengetedza kukura kwenhamba mbiri, uye shanduko yegirini yemaindasitiri. yaenderera mberi, zvisinei, tinofanirawo kuona kuti nharaunda yepasi rose inoramba yakaoma uye yakaoma, pane kusava nechokwadi mukukura kwekuda kwekunze, zvipingamupinyi zvekuda kwemusika wepamba zvichiripo, mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvemaindasitiri uchiri kuderera, uye kushanda zvakanaka kwemakambani. akatarisana nematambudziko mazhinji." Fu Linghui akataura kuti muchikamu chinotevera, isu tinofanirwa kuita zvirongwa zvakasiyana-siyana uye matanho ekudzikamisa kukura, kutarisa mukuwedzera kudiwa kwemba, kudzamisa gadziriso yezvimiro, kushandura nesimba uye kusimudzira maindasitiri echinyakare, kurima nekukura maindasitiri matsva, kusimudzira yakakwira. chiyero chesimba pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, uye kusimudzira hutano hwekusimudzira indasitiri.
Kutengeserana kweChina kune dzimwe nyika kwakasimba uye kune simba
Zvinoenderana nedatha ichangobva kuburitswa neGeneral Administration of Customs, maererano nemadhora ekuAmerica, kukosha kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika munaKurume kwakawedzera ne14.8% gore negore, nekukura kwekukura kwakawedzera ne21.6 muzana zvichienzaniswa neiyo yaNdira-Kukadzi. , kuva netariro kekutanga kubva muna Gumiguru gore rapfuura; Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwakadzikira ne1.4% gore negore, nekudzikira kwakadzikira ne8.8 percent zvichienzaniswa neiyo yaNdira-Kukadzi, uye kutengeserana kwakazoitwa munaKurume kwaive 88.19 bhiriyoni USD. kushanda kwezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika muna Kurume kwaive kuri nani pane zvaitarisirwa, ukuwo kutengwa kunze kwenyika kwakaderera pane zvaitarisirwa. Iyi nhanho yakasimba inoenderera mberi here?
"Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, kutengeswa kweChina nekutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakaramba kuchikura zvichienderana nehuwandu hwepamusoro hwegore rapera, izvo zvisiri nyore. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha kwese kwekutengesa nekutengesa kunze kwenyika kwakawedzera ne4,8% gore- pa-gore, izvo zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika zvakakura ne8.4%, kuchengetedza kukurumidza kukura. Fu Linghui akadaro.
VaFu Linghui vakati padanho rinotevera, kukura kwekutenga nekutengesa kunze kwenyika kweChina kuri kutarisana neimwe dzvinyiriro, iyo inonyanya kuratidzwa mune zvinotevera: Chekutanga, kusimukira kweupfumi hwenyika hakuna kusimba. Sekutaura kuri kuita International Monetary Fund, hupfumi hwenyika hunotarisirwa kukura nezvikamu zviviri nechidimbu kubva muzana muna 2023, izvo zvakaderera zvakanyanya pane zvegore rapfuura. Zvinoenderana nekufanotaura kwazvino kweWTO, huwandu hwekutengeserana kwepasi rose huchakura ne1.7% muna 2023, iyo yakaderera zvakanyanya kupfuura gore rapfuura. Chechipiri, pane kusava nechokwadi kukuru kwekunze. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, kukwira kwemitengo kuUnited States neEurope kwave kukwira zvakanyanya, mitemo yezvemari yakasimbiswa nguva dzose, uye kufumurwa kwedambudziko rekushaikwa kwemari mumamwe mabhanga eUnited States neEurope kwawedzera kusamira zvakanaka kwemabasa ehupfumi. . Panguva imwecheteyo, njodzi dzegeopolitical dzinoramba dziripo, uye kusimuka kweunilateralism uye kudzivirira kwakawedzera kusagadzikana uye kusava nechokwadi mukutengeserana kwenyika uye hupfumi.
"Pasinei nematambudziko uye matambudziko, kutengeserana kweChina kune dzimwe nyika kunoratidzwa nekusimba kwakasimba uye simba, uye nebasa remitemo yakasiyana-siyana yekudzikamisa kutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika, nyika inotarisirwa kuzadzisa chinangwa chekusimudzira kugadzikana nekuvandudza kunaka kwegore rose." Sekureva kwaFu Linghui, chekutanga, maindasitiri eChina akakwana uye huwandu hwayo hwekupa musika hwakati tsvikiti, saka inokwanisa kuchinjika kune shanduko mumusika wekunze wekuda. Chechipiri, China inoomerera pakuwedzera kutengeserana kwekunze uye kuvhurira kunze kwenyika, ichiramba ichiwedzera nzvimbo yekutengeserana kunze. Muchikamu chekutanga, kupinza uye kutumira kweChina kunyika dziri padyo ne "Belt and Road" kwakawedzera ne16.8%, uku kune dzimwe nyika nhengo dzeRCEP kwakawedzera ne7.3%, uko kunze kwenyika kwakawedzera ne20.2%.
Chechitatu, kukura kwesimba idzva rekutengeserana kweChina kune dzimwe nyika kwakaratidza zvishoma nezvishoma basa rayo mukutsigira kukura kwekutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, General Administration of Customs yakataurawo mukuburitswa kuti mukota yekutanga, kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwemotokari dzinotakura vanhu, lithium mabhatiri uye mabhatiri ezuva zvakakura ne66.9%, uye kukura kwekuyambuka e-commerce uye mamwe marudzi matsva ekunze. kutengeserana kwaikurumidzawo.
"Kubva pakuona kwakazara, danho rinotevera rekudzikamisa mitemo yekutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika icharamba ichiratidza migumisiro, iyo inobatsira pakuzadzikiswa kwekutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika gore rose kukurudzira kugadzikana nekuvandudza kunaka kwechinangwa." Fu Linghui akadaro.
Kukura kwehupfumi kwegore negore kunotarisirwa kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma
"Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, hupfumi hweChina hwanga huchidzikama, nezviratidzo zvikuru zviri kudzikama nekudzikama, simba revaridzi vemabhizinesi richiwedzera, uye tarisiro yemusika iri kusimukira zvakanyanya, zvichiisa hwaro huri nani hwekuzadzisa zvinangwa zvinotarisirwa zvebudiriro yegore rose. ." akadaro Fu Linghui. Fu Linghui akadaro.
Sekureva kwaFu Linghui, kubva padanho rinotevera, simba rekupedzisira rekukura kwehupfumi hweChina riri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye marongero makuru ari kushanda nemazvo, saka mashandiro ehupfumi anotarisirwa kuvandudza zvachose. Tichifunga kuti nhamba yekutanga yekota yechipiri yegore rapfuura yaive yakaderera nekuda kwekukanganisa kwedenda, mwero wekukura kwehupfumi muchikamu chechipiri chegore rino unogona kukurumidza zvakanyanya kupfuura muchikamu chekutanga. Muchikamu chechitatu nechechina, sezvo nhamba yehwaro inokwira, chiyero chekukura chichawa kubva kune chechipiri chechipiri. Kana nhamba yehwaro ikasatariswa, kukura kwehupfumi kwegore rose kunotarisirwa kuratidza kusimuka zvishoma nezvishoma. Zvinhu zvikuru zvinotsigira ndezvizvi:
Kutanga, kudhonza kwekushandisa kuri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma. Kubva pakutanga kwegore rino, kushandiswa kwave kuri pachena, uye kukurudzira kwaro mukukura kwehupfumi kuri kuwedzera. Chiyero chemupiro chekupedzisira kushandiswa mukukura kwehupfumi chakakwirira kudarika chegore rapera; nekuvandudzwa kwemamiriro emabasa, kusimudzirwa kwemitemo yekushandisa, uye kuwedzera kwenhamba yemamiriro ekushandisa, kugona kwevagari vekudya uye kuda kudya zvinotarisirwa kukwira. Panguva imwecheteyo, tiri kushingaira kuwedzera mashandisirwo akawandisa emotokari itsva dzesimba uye girinhi uye smart midziyo yemumba, tichikurudzira kubatanidzwa kwekushandisa pamhepo nekunze, kugadzira mafomu matsva uye nzira dzekushandisa, uye kukurumidza kusimudzira kwemhando uye kuwedzera kwekushandisa. musika wekumaruwa, izvo zvese zvinobatsira mukukura kwakasimba kwekushandisa uye kufambisa kukura kwehupfumi.
Chechipiri, kugadzikana kwekudyara kukura kunotarisirwa kuenderera mberi. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu akasiyana akakurudzira kutanga kuvakwa kwezvirongwa zvikuru, uye mari yakaramba ichikura. Muchikamu chekutanga, fixed-asset investment yakakura ne5.1%. Muchikamu chinotevera, nekushandurwa nekuvandudzwa kwemaindasitiri echinyakare, kuvandudzwa kwemaindasitiri matsva kuchaenderera mberi, uye kutsigirwa kwehupfumi hwechokwadi kuchawedzera, izvo zvichave zvinobatsira mukukura kwekudyara. Muchikamu chekutanga, mari muchikamu chekugadzira yakakura ne7%, nekukurumidza kupfuura kukura kwekudyara kwese. Pakati pavo, kudyara mukugadzirwa kwepamusoro-soro kwakakura ne15.2%. Infrastructure investment yakakura nekukurumidza. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu akasiyana ave kushingaira kusimudzira kuvaka kwezvivakwa, uye mhedzisiro yacho iri kuonekwa zvishoma nezvishoma. Muchikamu chekutanga, kudyara kwezvivakwa kwakakwira ne8.8% gore-pagore, zvichiwedzera simba rekusimudzira budiriro.
Chechitatu, shanduko yeindasitiri nekusimudzira zvakaunza kuwedzera kukuru. China yakashandisa zvakadzama nzira yekuvandudza inofambiswa nehunyanzvi, yakasimbisa simba rayo resainzi uye tekinoroji, uye yakasimudzira kusimudzira maindasitiri nekusimudzira, nekukurumidza kusimudzira 5G network, ruzivo, hungwaru hwekugadzira uye humwe matekinoroji, pamwe nekubuda kwemaindasitiri matsva. ; kukosha-kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina yakakura ne4.3% mukota yekutanga, uye kusimba kwehunyanzvi hweindasitiri kwave kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma. Panguva imwecheteyo, nhanho yegirinhi uye yakaderera-kabhoni shanduko yesimba yakawedzera, kudiwa kwezvigadzirwa zvitsva kwawedzera, uye maindasitiri echinyakare akawedzera mukuchengetedza simba, kuderedza kushandiswa nekugadzirisa, uye kufambisa kwekufambisa kwakawedzera zvakare. . Muchikamu chekutanga, kubuda kwemotokari itsva dzesimba uye masero ezuva zvakachengetedza kukura nokukurumidza. Iyo yepamusoro-yekupedzisira, hungwaru uye girinhi kusimukira kwemaindasitiri kuchapinza simba idzva mukusimudzira hupfumi hweChina.
Chechina, macroeconomic mitemo yakaramba ichiratidza mhedzisiro. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu nemapazi ose akatevedzera pfungwa dzeCentral Economic Work Conference pamwe negwaro rebasa reHurumende rekuita hurongwa uhu, uye mutemo wakanaka wezvemari wakasimbiswa kuti uwedzere kushanda kwegwara remari. rakanyatsojeka uye rine simba, rinoratidza basa rekukura kwakadzikama, basa rakagadzikana uye mitengo yakagadzikana, uye mhedzisiro yemutemo yave ichionekwa nguva dzose, uye kushanda kwehupfumi muchikamu chekutanga kwakagadzikana uye kunowedzera.
"Muchikamu chinotevera, nezvisarudzo zveBato reCentral Committee neState Council uye hurongwa hwekuenderera mberi nekuita zvakadzama, mhedzisiro yemitemo ichawedzera kuoneka, kusimba kwekusimudzira hupfumi hweChina kucharamba kuchisimba, nekusimudzira kushanda kwehupfumi hwekudzoreredza. zvezvakanaka." Fu Linghui akadaro.
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-23-2023
