"Muchikamu chekutanga, tichitarisana nemamiriro ezvinhu akaoma uye akaomarara epasi rose uye mabasa akaoma ekugadzirisa, kusimudzira nekudzikamisa zvinhu, matunhu ese nemadhipatimendi akashandisa zvakasimba sarudzo nezvirongwa zvakaitwa neCPC Central Committee neState Council, vachitevedzera musimboti wekuti "kugadzikana sedanho rekutanga" uye "kutsvaga kufambira mberi pakati pekugadzikana", vakaisa pfungwa itsva yekuvandudza nenzira yakakwana, yakarurama uye yakazara, vakakurumidzisa kuvaka kwemaitiro matsva ekuvandudza, vakaita kuedza kusimudzira budiriro yepamusoro, vakaronga zviri nani mamiriro maviri epasi rose emuno neepasi rose, vakabatanidza zviri nani kudzivirira nekudzora zvirwere nekusimudzira hupfumi nemagariro evanhu, budiriro nekuchengetedzeka zviri nani, uye vakaratidza kukosha kwekudzikamisa nekudzikamisa hupfumi. Kubatanidza zviri nani kudzivirira nekudzora denda nekusimudzira hupfumi nemagariro evanhu, kubatanidza zviri nani budiriro nekuchengetedzeka, uye kuratidza basa rekudzikamisa kukura, mabasa nemitengo; kudzivirira nekudzora denda kwakaita shanduko inokurumidza uye yakapfava, kugadzirwa nekudiwa kwakadzikama uye kwadzokazve, mabasa nemitengo zvagara zvakagadzikana, mari yevanhu yakaramba ichikwira, tarisiro yemusika yave nani zvikuru, uye hupfumi hwatanga zvakanaka kushanda kwahwo." Fu Linghui, mutauriri weNational Bureau of Statistics (NBS) uye mutungamiriri weDhipatimendi reComprehensive Statistics on National Economy, vakadaro pamusangano wevatori venhau pamusoro pekushanda kwehupfumi hwenyika mukota yekutanga yakaitwa neState Council Information Office musi wa18 Kubvumbi.
Musi wa18 Kubvumbi, Hofisi yeRuzivo yeDare reHurumende yakaita musangano nevatori venhau muBeijing, umo Fu Linghui, mutauriri weNational Bureau of Statistics uye mutungamiriri weDhipatimendi reComprehensive National Economy Statistics, vakasuma mashandiro ehupfumi hwenyika muchikamu chekutanga cha2023 uye vakapindura mibvunzo kubva kuvatori venhau.
Ongororo dzekutanga dzinoratidza kuti GDP yekota yekutanga yaive 284,997,000,000 yuan, kuwedzera kwegore negore kwe4.5% pamitengo isingachinji, uye kuwedzera kwe2.2% ringgit muchikamu chechina chegore rapfuura. Panyaya dzemaindasitiri, kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekutanga kwaive RMB 11575 bhiriyoni, kukwira ne3.7% gore negore; kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yechipiri kwaive RMB 10794.7 bhiriyoni, kukwira ne3.3%; uye kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yepamusoro kwaive RMB 165475 bhiriyoni, kukwira ne5.4%.
Chikamu chekutanga cheindasitiri chinoona kukura kwakasimba
"Kota yekutanga yeindasitiri yakawana kukura kwakasimba. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, nekudzivirira nekudzora denda nekukurumidza uye kwakasimba, mitemo yekukura kwakasimba iri kuramba ichiratidza mhedzisiro, kudiwa kwemusika kuri kuwedzera, kutengeswa kwecheni yemaindasitiri kuti kukurumidze kudzoreredzwa kwekugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kwakaona shanduko dzakawanda dzakanaka." Fu Linghui akati mukota yekutanga, kukosha kwenyika kwemaindasitiri kwakawedzerwa pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa kwakawedzera ne3.0% gore negore, kwakakurumidza ne0.3 muzana yemapoinzi zvichienzaniswa nekota yechina yegore rapfuura. Muzvikamu zvitatu zvikuru, kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yemigodhi kwakawedzera ne3.2%, indasitiri yekugadzira yakakura ne2.9%, uye indasitiri yekugadzira magetsi, kupisa, gasi nemvura uye kugovera yakakura ne3.3%. Kukosha kwakawedzerwa kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina kwakawedzera ne4.3%, kuchikwira ne2.5 muzana yemapoinzi kubva muna Ndira kusvika Kukadzi. Pane zvinhu zvinotevera:
Chekutanga, maindasitiri mazhinji akaramba achikura. Muchikamu chekutanga, pazvikamu zvikuru makumi mana nerimwe zvemaindasitiri, zvikamu makumi maviri nematatu zvakaramba zvichikura gore negore, nekukura kweanopfuura 50%. Zvichienzaniswa nechikamu chechina chegore rapfuura, kukura kwemakambani makumi maviri kwakawedzera kukosha.
Chechipiri, indasitiri yekugadzira michina inoita basa rekutsigira zviri pachena. Sezvo maitiro ekuvandudza maindasitiri muChina achisimba, kugona uye huwandu hwezvigadzirwa zvemidziyo zviri kusimudzirwa, uye kugadzirwa kunoramba kuchikura nekukurumidza. Muchikamu chekutanga chegore, kukosha kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina kwakawedzera ne4.3% gore rega rega, 1.3 muzana yakakwira kupfuura yeindasitiri yakarongwa, uye mupiro wayo mukukura kwemaindasitiri ari pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa wakasvika 42.5%. Pakati pawo, michina yemagetsi, njanji nengarava nedzimwe indasitiri yakawedzera kukosha ne15.1%, 9.3%.
Chechitatu, chikamu chekugadzira zvinhu zvakabikwa chakakura nekukurumidza. Nekudzoka kwehupfumi nguva dzose, kukura kwakasimba kwekudyara kwasimbisa kurudziro yeindasitiri yezvinhu zvakabikwa, uye kugadzirwa kwakabatana kwakaramba kuchikura nekukurumidza. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha kwekugadzirwa kwezvinhu zvakabikwa kwakawedzera ne4.7% gore negore, 1.7 muzana yakakwira kupfuura yeindasitiri yepamutemo. Pakati pavo, indasitiri yekunyungudutsa simbi nesimbi uye indasitiri yekunyungudutsa simbi isina feri yakawedzera ne5.9% uye 6.9% zvichiteerana. Kubva pakuona kwechigadzirwa, muchikamu chekutanga, kugadzirwa kwesimbi, gumi isina feri kwakawedzera ne5.8%, 9%.
Chechina, kugadzirwa kwemabhizinesi madiki nemadiki kwakavandudzika. Muchikamu chekutanga chegore, kukosha kwemakambani madiki nemadiki kwakawedzera ne3.1% gore negore, nekukurumidza kupfuura mwero wekukura kwemabhizinesi ese emaindasitiri kupfuura hukuru hwakatarwa. Ongororo yemibvunzo inoratidza kuti mabhizinesi madiki nemadiki ari pasi pemutemo weProsperity Index kupfuura muchikamu chechina chegore rapfuura, kuwedzera kwe1.7 muzana, kugadzirwa nemamiriro ebhizinesi emabhizinesi akanaka kwakasvika 1.2 muzana.
"Pamusoro pezvo, tarisiro dzemabhizinesi dzinowanzo kuve dzakanaka, PMI yeindasitiri yekugadzira yave iri mutariro kwemwedzi mitatu yakatevedzana, zvigadzirwa zvegreen zvakaita semotokari itsva dzemagetsi uye maseru ezuva zvakaramba zvichikura kaviri, uye shanduko yegreening yemaindasitiri yakaramba ichienderera mberi. Zvisinei, tinofanirawo kuona kuti mamiriro epasi rose anoramba akaoma uye akaoma, pane kusava nechokwadi mukukura kwekudiwa kwekunze, zvipingamupinyi zvekudiwa kwemusika wemuno zvichiripo, mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvemaindasitiri uchiri kudzikira, uye kushanda zvakanaka kwemabhizinesi kuri kutarisana nematambudziko mazhinji." Fu Linghui akati muchikamu chinotevera, tinofanira kushandisa mitemo yakasiyana-siyana uye zvirongwa zvekudzikamisa kukura, kutarisa pakuwedzera kudiwa kwemuno, kuwedzera shanduko yechimiro chekugovera, kugadzirisa nesimba nekuvandudza maindasitiri echinyakare, kurima nekukura maindasitiri matsva, kukurudzira mwero wepamusoro wekuenzanisa pakati pekugoverwa nekudiwa, uye kukurudzira kukura kwakanaka kwemaindasitiri.
Kutengeserana kwekunze kweChina kwakasimba uye kunochinja-chinja
Sekureva kwedata rakaburitswa nguva pfupi yadarika neGeneral Administration of Customs, maererano nemadhora ekuAmerica, kukosha kwekutengeswa kunze kwenyika munaKurume kwakawedzera ne14.8% gore negore, nekukura kwakawedzera ne21.6 muzana yemapoinzi kana tichienzanisa neyaNdira-Kukadzi, zvichiva zvakanaka kekutanga kubva munaGumiguru gore rapfuura; kutengeswa kwezvinhu kunze kwenyika kwakaderera ne1.4% gore negore, nekudzikira kwemutengo kwakadzikira ne8.8 muzana yemapoinzi kana tichienzanisa neyaNdira-Kukadzi, uye huwandu hwekutengeserana hwakawanikwa munaKurume hwaive mabhiriyoni 88.19 emadhora eUSD. Kubudirira kwekutengesa zvinhu kunze kwenyika munaKurume kwaive nani kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, nepo zvinhu kunze kwenyika zvaive zvisina kusimba pane zvaitarisirwa. Kubudirira uku kwakasimba kunogara kwenguva refu here?
"Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, zvinhu zvinopinzwa nekutengeswa kunze kwenyika zveChina zvakaramba zvichikura zvichibva pahuwandu hwegore rapfuura, izvo zvisiri nyore. Muchikamu chekutanga, kukosha kwezvinhu zvinopinzwa nekutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwakawedzera ne4.8% gore negore, izvo zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika zvakawedzera ne8.4%, zvichiramba zvichikura nekukurumidza. Hazvisi nyore kuwana kukura kwakadaro kana hupfumi hwenyika huri kudzikira uye kusagadzikana kwekunze kuri kukuru." Fu Linghui akadaro.
Fu Linghui akati muchikamu chinotevera, kukura kweChina kwezvinhu zvinopinzwa nekutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuri kutarisana nekumanikidzwa, izvo zvinonyanya kuoneka mune zvinotevera: Chekutanga, kukura kwehupfumi hwenyika hakuna kusimba. Sekureva kwefungidziro yeInternational Monetary Fund, hupfumi hwenyika hunotarisirwa kukura ne2.8% muna 2023, izvo zviri pasi zvakanyanya pane mwero wekukura kwegore rapfuura. Sekureva kwefungidziro yazvino yeWTO, huwandu hwekutengeserana kwezvinhu pasi rose huchakura ne1.7% muna 2023, izvo zviri pasi zvakanyanya pane gore rapfuura. Chechipiri, kune kusava nechokwadi kukuru kwekunze. Kubva pakutanga kwegore rino, mwero we inflation muUnited States neEurope wave wakakwira, mitemo yemari yakasimbiswa nguva dzose, uye kuratidzwa kwematambudziko emari mune mamwe mabhangi muUnited States neEurope kwakawedzera kusagadzikana kwemabasa ehupfumi. Panguva imwe chete, njodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika dzichiripo, uye kuwedzera kwehumwe unilateralism nekudzivirira kwakawedzera kusagadzikana uye kusava nechokwadi mukutengeserana kwepasi rose nehupfumi.
"Pasinei nematambudziko nematambudziko aripo, kutengeserana kwekunze kweChina kunoratidzwa nekusimba kwakasimba uye simba, uye nekushanda kwemitemo yakasiyana-siyana yekudzikamisa kutengeserana kwekunze, nyika inotarisirwa kuzadzisa chinangwa chekusimudzira kugadzikana uye kuvandudza mhando mugore rese." Sekureva kwaFu Linghui, chekutanga, hurongwa hwemaindasitiri hweChina hwakakwana uye kugona kwayo kupa musika kwakasimba, saka inokwanisa kugadzirisa shanduko mumusika wezvinodiwa zvekunze. Chechipiri, China inosimbirira pakuwedzera kutengeserana kwekunze uye kuvhura nyika yekunze, ichiramba ichiwedzera nzvimbo yekutengeserana kwekunze. Muchikamu chekutanga, kupinza nekutumira kweChina kunyika dziri pedyo ne "Belt and Road" kwakawedzera ne16.8%, ukuwo kune dzimwe nyika dziri nhengo dzeRCEP kwakawedzera ne7.3%, uko kutumira kunze kwakawedzera ne20.2%.
Chechitatu, kukura kwesimba idzva rinoshanduka mukutengeserana kwekunze kweChina kwaratidza zvishoma nezvishoma basa rayo mukutsigira kukura kwekutengeserana kwekunze. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, General Administration of Customs yakataurawo muchinyorwa ichi kuti muchikamu chekutanga, kutengeswa kwemotokari dzemagetsi, mabhatiri e lithium nemabhatiri ezuva kwakawedzera ne66.9%, uye kukura kwekutengeserana kwepamhepo nedzimwe nzira itsva dzekutengeserana kwekunze kwakakurumidzawo.
"Kubva pakuona kwakazara, danho rinotevera rekudzikamisa mitemo yekutengeserana kwekunze richaramba richiratidza mhedzisiro, izvo zvinobatsira pakuzadzikiswa kwekutengeserana kwekunze kwegore rose kukurudzira kugadzikana uye kuvandudza kunaka kwechinangwa," akadaro Fu Linghui.
Kukura kwehupfumi pagore kunotarisirwa kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma
"Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, hupfumi hweChina hwave kupora, zviratidzo zvikuru zvichidzikama uye zvichidzoka, simba revaridzi vemabhizinesi richikwira, uye tarisiro yemusika ichivandudzika zvakanyanya, zvichiisa hwaro huri nani hwekuzadzisa zvinangwa zvebudiriro zvinotarisirwa zvegore rose." akadaro Fu Linghui. Fu Linghui akadaro.
Sekureva kwaFu Linghui, kubva padanho rinotevera, simba rekukura kwehupfumi hweChina riri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye marongero makuru ari kushanda zvakanaka, saka mashandiro ehupfumi anotarisirwa kuvandudzika zvachose. Tichifunga kuti nhamba yekutanga yekota yechipiri yegore rapfuura yaive yakaderera nekuda kwedenda iri, mwero wekukura kwehupfumi mukota yechipiri yegore rino unogona kukurumidza kupfuura wekota yekutanga. Mukota yechitatu neyechina, sezvo nhamba yekutanga ichikwira, mwero wekukura uchadzikira kubva pane wekota yechipiri. Kana nhamba yekutanga ikasatariswa, kukura kwehupfumi kwegore rose kunotarisirwa kuratidza kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma. Zvinhu zvikuru zvinotsigira ndeizvi:
Chekutanga, kukwezva kwekushandiswa kuri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, kushandiswa kwave kuri kuwedzera zvakajeka, uye kukurudzira kwayo kukura kwehupfumi kwave kuchiwedzera. Mwero wekushandiswa kwekupedzisira mukukura kwehupfumi wakakwira kupfuura wegore rapfuura; nekuvandudzika kwemamiriro emabasa, kusimudzirwa kwemitemo yekushandisa, uye kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwezvinotarisirwa kushandiswa, kugona kwevagari kushandisa uye kuda kushandisa zvinotarisirwa kukwira. Panguva imwe chete, tiri kuwedzera zvakanyanya kushandiswa kwemotokari itsva dzemagetsi nemidziyo yemumba yakasvibirira uye yakangwara, tichikurudzira kubatanidzwa kwekushandiswa kwepamhepo nekunze kweinternet, kugadzira mafomu matsva nenzira dzekushandisa, uye kukurumidzisa kuvandudzwa kwemhando uye kukura kwemusika wekumaruwa, zvese izvi zvinobatsira kukura kwekushandiswa uye zvichikurudzira kukura kwehupfumi.
Chechipiri, kukura kwekudyara kwakasimba kunotarisirwa kuramba kuripo. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu akasiyana-siyana akasimudzira kutanga kwekuvakwa kwemapurojekiti makuru, uye kudyara kwakaramba kuripo zvakanyanya. Muchikamu chekutanga, kudyara kwemidziyo yakasimbiswa kwakawedzera ne5.1%. Muchikamu chinotevera, nekushandurwa nekuvandudzwa kwemaindasitiri echinyakare, budiriro itsva yemaindasitiri matsva ichaenderera mberi, uye rutsigiro rwehupfumi chaihwo ruchawedzera, izvo zvichabatsira kukura kwekudyara. Muchikamu chekutanga, kudyara muchikamu chekugadzira kwakawedzera ne7%, nekukurumidza kupfuura kukura kwekudyara kwese. Pakati pazvo, kudyara mukugadzira tekinoroji yepamusoro kwakawedzera ne15.2%. Kudyara muzvivakwa kwakawedzera nekukurumidza. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu akasiyana-siyana ave achikurudzira kuvaka zvivakwa, uye mhedzisiro yacho iri kuonekwa zvishoma nezvishoma. Muchikamu chekutanga, kudyara muzvivakwa kwakawedzera ne8.8% gore negore, zvichiwedzera simba rekusimudzira kufambira mberi.
Chechitatu, kushandurwa nekusimudzirwa kwemaindasitiri kwawedzera simba. China yakashandisa zvakadzama hurongwa hwekuvandudza hune chekuita nekugadzira zvinhu zvitsva, yasimbisa simba rayo resainzi netekinoroji, uye yakasimudzira kuvandudzwa nekusimudzirwa kwemaindasitiri, nekukura nekukurumidza kwema network e5G, ruzivo, huchenjeri hwekugadzira nedzimwe tekinoroji, pamwe nekubuda kwemaindasitiri matsva; kukosha kweindasitiri yekugadzira michina kwakawedzera ne4.3% mukota yekutanga, uye simba rehunyanzvi hweindasitiri iri kuramba richikwira zvishoma nezvishoma. Panguva imwe chete, kumhanya kwekushanduka kwesimba regreen nelow-carbon kwakawedzera, kudiwa kwezvigadzirwa zvitsva kwakawedzera, uye maindasitiri echinyakare akawedzera mukuchengetedza simba, kuderedza kushandiswa uye kugadziriswa, uye mhedzisiro yekutyaira yakawedzerwawo. Mukota yekutanga, kubuda kwemotokari itsva dzesimba uye masolar cells kwakaramba kuchikura nekukurumidza. Kukura kwepamusoro, kwakangwara uye kwakasvibirira kwemaindasitiri kuchaisa simba idzva mukukura kwehupfumi hweChina.
Chechina, mitemo yezvehupfumi hwenyika yakaramba ichiratidza mhedzisiro. Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, matunhu ese nemadhipatimendi akatevedzera mweya weCentral Economic Work Conference uye mushumo webasa weHurumende kuti aite chirongwa ichi, uye mutemo wezvemari wakanaka wakasimbiswa kuti uvandudze kushanda kwemutemo wezvemari wakangwara uye une simba, zvichiratidza basa rekukura kwakasimba, mabasa akasimba uye mitengo yakagadzikana, uye mhedzisiro yemutemo uyu yagara ichionekwa, uye mashandiro ehupfumi mukota yekutanga akadzikama uye akadzokazve.
"Muchikamu chinotevera, nesarudzo nezvirongwa zveKomiti yePati neDare reHurumende zvekuenderera mberi nekushandisa ruzivo urwu, mhedzisiro yemutemo ichaonekwa zvakanyanya, kukurumidza kwekukura kwehupfumi hweChina kucharamba kuchisimba, uye kukurudzira mashandiro ehupfumi ekudzoreredza zvakanaka." Fu Linghui akadaro.
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-23-2023
